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esportsbetter1

0x866056133a70de9282a080758858d1a0c8b393edEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade yesterday · 271 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -100.0%, realistic -100.0%.
34/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is esportsbetter1 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 34/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 271 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,862 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 27 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 68 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
25
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
35
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-100.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.0 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

7–1 on game moneylines

8 settled calls on CFB and NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
4.5 of 8
Current streak
1 hit

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Rams vs. Broncos
NFL · Sep 28 · Broncos at 50¢
hit
Texans vs. Colts
NFL · Sep 27 · Texans at 54¢
miss
Ball State vs. Kent State
CFB · Sep 26 · Kent State at 58¢
hit
Liberty vs. Coastal Carolina
CFB · Sep 24 · Liberty at 55¢
hit
Virginia Tech vs. Maryland
CFB · Sep 19 · Virginia Tech at 55¢
hit
Florida vs. Auburn
CFB · Sep 19 · Florida at 55¢
hit

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 474 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
3
Avg hold
1.6 hours
Active span
May 28 – Sep 30, 2026
Trades per month
21
May
175
Jun
105
Jul
84
Aug
89
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage11 fills
  2. Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage6 fills
  3. Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage6 fills
  4. Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage6 fills
  5. Valorant: Team Envy vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha6 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.7%
474 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.