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Fridius

0x8adf0798feeea5dc27c7d08307db5f53a47648cdEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 11 days ago · 84 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$5
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -0.8%, realistic -1.0%.
48/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Fridius worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 48/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 84 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -1.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,746 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 10, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 29 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 13 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
47
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
5
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
92
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
50
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-0.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-1.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.2 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
80
Avg hold
3.4 days
Active span
Apr 17 – Sep 29, 2026
Trades per month
689
Apr
201
May
15
Jun
63
Jul
21
Aug
11
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 20?18 fills
  2. Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 20?16 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET15 fills
  4. Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?13 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET12 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Science
-1.6%
611 trades
Crypto
-0.6%
245 trades
Politics
-3.9%
46 trades
World
+0.3%
44 trades
Sports
+0.6%
39 trades
Culture
0.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.