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747281

0x8faabef68d5951d3e06ca511dfc778ed6f54deb5Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 9 days ago · 142 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$77
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -12.5%, realistic -15.3%.
51/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is 747281 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-15.30%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 51/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 142 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -15.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,746 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 10 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 18 daysCaution · 6 daysPositive · 1 dayCaution · 7 daysNegative · 7 daysCaution · 1 dayNegative · 2 daysCaution · 1 dayNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 2 daysCaution · 2 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 1 dayNegative · 1 dayCaution · 10 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
43
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
12
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
65
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
59
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-12.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-15.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−2.8 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 143 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
26
Avg hold
23.2 days
Active span
Jul 9 – Oct 1, 2026
Trades per month
25
Jul
68
Aug
48
Sep
2
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?19 fills
  2. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?11 fills
  3. Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?8 fills
  4. Fed rate hike in 2026?7 fills
  5. US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?6 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Economy
-21.9%
55 trades
Politics
+3.3%
42 trades
World
+2.6%
42 trades
Culture
-40.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.