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HoldMyBeerTrading

0x9704e46471275d702384ce1615c86521e31ee11bEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is HoldMyBeerTrading worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 72 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +0.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 4 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, May 31 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 3 daysNegative · 75 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
98
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
34
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
74
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
83
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+1.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+0.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.5 pts
Forensic check

4 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 248 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
43
Avg hold
46 hours
Active span
May 17 – Jun 1, 2026
Trades per month
189
May
59
Jun
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?28 fills
  2. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?25 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET13 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET11 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET10 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
+0.1%
81 trades
Economy
+8.8%
55 trades
Culture
+20.1%
42 trades
Politics
-8.6%
31 trades
Sports
0.0%
22 trades
World
+33.7%
17 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.