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Flaky-Machine

0x9771bbd2a6226a2213a283649e3bc04bc8945a0aEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 10 days ago · 32 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$20
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -3.3%, realistic -4.0%.
60/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Flaky-Machine worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-4.00%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 60/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 32 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -4.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,858 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 18 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 15 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
49
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
19
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
86
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
76
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-3.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-4.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.7 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 171 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
40
Avg hold
87.3 days
Active span
Dec 1 – Sep 21, 2026
Trades per month
20
Dec
56
Jan
7
Feb
3
Mar
27
Apr
18
May
8
Jun
5
Jul
8
Aug
19
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House22 fills
  2. Xi Jinping out before 2027?16 fills
  3. Trump out as President before 2027?10 fills
  4. U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?9 fills
  5. US government shutdown Saturday?9 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-8.8%
109 trades
World
+0.4%
48 trades
Economy
-2.7%
10 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.