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Home/Copy Verdict

encrypted853

0x998679089cdc7a9a116937c720517c95db6dba75Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is encrypted853 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 161 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -21.2% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 2 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 5 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 22 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
4
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
70
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
38
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-12.7%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-21.2%
The gap — what latency and fees erase8.5 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 269 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
52
Avg hold
2.7 hours
Active span
May 6 – Aug 21, 2026
Trades per month
0
Sep
0
Oct
0
Nov
0
Dec
0
Jan
3
Feb
3
Mar
46
Apr
41
May
40
Jun
92
Jul
29
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?22 fills
  2. Will England win on 2026-07-01?16 fills
  3. Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?13 fills
  4. Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?12 fills
  5. Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-25?12 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-9.5%
101 trades
Politics
-137.0%
92 trades
Crypto
-8.0%
53 trades
Economy
-456.3%
12 trades
World
-15.2%
7 trades
Culture
-22.8%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.