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Home/Copy Verdict

Carefree-Significance

0x99f0d31fdced5b3a0e5ee2867730a6644a6c9495Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
49/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The verdict, in plain English
This wallet scores 49/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 184 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -14.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.
Verdict history
Which band, and for how long
Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 7 – Jul 28, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 39 daysCaution · 4 daysNegative · 1 day
Five-factor breakdown
Sub-scores
Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
44
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
25
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
76
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
50
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax
Realistic copy return
What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-10.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-14.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase4.4 pts
Forensic check
1 farming signal detected
This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity
What this wallet actually does
From the last 184 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
0
Avg hold
Active span
May 18 – Jul 15, 2026
Trades per month
108
May
70
Jun
6
Jul
Where it trades
Most-traded markets
By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?64 fills
  2. Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 3.57 fills
  3. Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovic6 fills
  4. Roland Garros ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan4 fills
  5. Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.53 fills
Coverage
Categories traded
Per-category edge — where the wallet actually makes its money — is on the in-app dossier, free with an account.
Sports · 184 trades
Where the edge actually lives
Category-edge breakdown
Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying
Open positions & simulator
See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging
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CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.