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Gummy-Casserole

0x9be5b67ba060e4c34c7d21620bce2d31ef75985eEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
55/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Gummy-Casserole worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 55/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 125 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -3.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, May 30 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 1 dayNegative · 44 daysCaution · 34 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
56
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
12
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
89
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
69
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-3.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-3.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.7 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 515 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
97
Avg hold
7.1 days
Active span
Mar 10 – Aug 19, 2026
Trades per month
137
Mar
172
Apr
93
May
111
Jun
0
Jul
2
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?19 fills
  2. Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?15 fills
  3. Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?13 fills
  4. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?12 fills
  5. Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?11 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Economy
-1.5%
293 trades
World
+2.9%
164 trades
Politics
+2.0%
50 trades
Science
-22.2%
6 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.