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Favorable-Pepper-Brushing

0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #18 · 7d volumePrimarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
119 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 10.0k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$24
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -2.7%, realistic -4.7%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
119 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Favorable-Pepper-Brushing worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 10.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -4.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 119 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.5% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,547 graded wallets, as of October 19, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 19, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 21 – Oct 19, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 91 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
69
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
24
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
87
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
67
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-2.7%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-4.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−2.0 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

3–7 on game moneylines

10 settled calls on MLB and NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
5.1 of 10
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number. 1 call still awaiting a final.

Cowboys vs. Packers
NFL · Oct 19 · Cowboys at 52¢
miss
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
MLB · Oct 18 · Tampa Bay Rays at 55¢
pending
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB · Oct 15 · Milwaukee Brewers at 39¢
hit
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB · Oct 12 · Milwaukee Brewers at 46¢
hit
Ravens vs. Falcons
NFL · Oct 12 · Falcons at 63¢
miss
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB · Oct 12 · Los Angeles Dodgers at 50¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

119 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
119 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 10,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
1,585
Avg hold
1.7 hours
Active span
Oct 18 – Oct 19, 2026
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs230 fills
  2. Valorant: LOUD vs Team Vitality (BO5) - VCT Champions Playoffs219 fills
  3. Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?202 fills
  4. Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs116 fills
  5. Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez113 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.1%
6544 trades
Crypto
0.0%
3280 trades
Politics
-3.4%
38 trades
World
0.0%
12 trades
Culture
-2.0%
10 trades
Tech
-3.5%
10 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.