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polymarketbetter

0xa14750436b2e01aa76cebf831018857340a53fccEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 16 days ago · 69 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$121
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -20.1%, realistic -24.1%.
50/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is polymarketbetter worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-24.10%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 50/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 69 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -24.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,742 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 8 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 4 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 60 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
48
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
20
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
54
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
51
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-20.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-24.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−4.0 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 410 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
101
Avg hold
9.9 days
Active span
Sep 13 – Sep 24, 2026
Trades per month
0
Oct
0
Nov
0
Dec
4
Jan
4
Feb
14
Mar
3
Apr
2
May
11
Jun
63
Jul
14
Aug
3
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?19 fills
  2. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?12 fills
  3. Trump out as President before 2027?10 fills
  4. Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?9 fills
  5. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?9 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.3%
62 trades
Economy
+33.5%
42 trades
World
-9.9%
22 trades
Crypto
-2.2%
13 trades
Tech
+11.0%
8 trades
Culture
0.0%
7 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.