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Home/Copy Verdict

random-random123

0xa1ccbdf50b8674fe41e9cccd8af208dc44b5fa62Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
Farming risk: flagged
7 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 2.5k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$60
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -6.8%, realistic -11.9%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
7 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is random-random123 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 2.5k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -11.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 7 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,872 graded wallets, as of October 22, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 22, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 28 – Oct 22, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 25 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
66
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
20
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
82
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
55
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-6.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-11.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−5.1 pts
Forensic check

7 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
7 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 2,484 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
678
Avg hold
33 hours
Active span
Sep 27 – Oct 22, 2026
Trades per month
375
Sep
2109
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?45 fills
  2. Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?43 fills
  3. Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?17 fills
  4. Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?15 fills
  5. Argentina vs. Bolivia: O/U 3.512 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
+2.2%
604 trades
World
+0.9%
504 trades
Economy
-0.3%
245 trades
Tech
+1.3%
157 trades
Crypto
+7.9%
94 trades
Culture
-0.7%
84 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.