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AiBird

0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #45 · all-time volumePrimarily: World
Farming risk: flagged
2 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 4.9k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$88
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -10.0%, realistic -17.5%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is AiBird worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 4.9k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -17.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 2 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,790 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 91 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
85
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
25
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
70
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
63
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-10.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-17.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−7.5 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 4,867 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
1,477
Avg hold
3.2 days
Active span
Jul 14 – Oct 11, 2026
Trades per month
680
Jul
1693
Aug
2038
Sep
456
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?39 fills
  2. Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?30 fills
  3. Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?28 fills
  4. Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?27 fills
  5. Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?25 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Economy
+3.4%
1302 trades
Tech
+3.2%
1259 trades
Politics
-1.9%
855 trades
Sports
+5.1%
461 trades
Culture
+0.8%
446 trades
World
+7.3%
357 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.