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Instructive-Calcification

0xa90728f2593c0c6bcf626f6ffb96501025368ce4Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
45/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Instructive-Calcification worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 45/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 46 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -0.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 8 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 19 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
34
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
14
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
40
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-0.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-0.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.1 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 97 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
47
Avg hold
1.4 hours
Active span
Oct 12 – Aug 20, 2026
Trades per month
1
Oct
0
Nov
4
Dec
23
Jan
14
Feb
7
Mar
2
Apr
8
May
2
Jun
10
Jul
26
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?4 fills
  2. US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?3 fills
  3. Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?3 fills
  4. 2026 Balance of Power: Other2 fills
  5. Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?2 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-0.1%
25 trades
Sports
-0.1%
23 trades
Crypto
-0.1%
15 trades
Culture
-0.1%
13 trades
Economy
-0.1%
10 trades
World
-0.1%
9 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.