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alaskabaked

0xaa7789219c17e180dcb5933099c90d885f1d15a5Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 1.5k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$145
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -18.7%, realistic -29.0%.
59/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is alaskabaked worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 59/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.5k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -29.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,778 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 17 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 5 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 2 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 2 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 4 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 8 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 4 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 4 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 20 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
88
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
19
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
42
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
80
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-18.7%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-29.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−10.3 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

4–1 on game moneylines

5 settled calls on MLB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
2.7 of 5
Current streak
2 hits

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
MLB · Oct 11 · Cleveland Guardians at 57¢
hit
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
MLB · Oct 9 · Cleveland Guardians at 52¢
hit
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
MLB · Oct 8 · New York Yankees at 61¢
miss
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
MLB · Oct 7 · Cleveland Guardians at 47¢
hit
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
MLB · Oct 7 · San Diego Padres at 56¢
hit

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,457 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
259
Avg hold
2.1 hours
Active span
Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026
Trades per month
391
Jul
484
Aug
406
Sep
176
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Guadalajara Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Bianca Andreescu22 fills
  2. Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees14 fills
  3. Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians8 fills
  4. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves8 fills
  5. Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox7 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+7.6%
1428 trades
World
+25.4%
21 trades
Crypto
+44.3%
5 trades
Politics
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.