This wallet scores 47/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 10.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -69.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.
Verdict history
Which band, and for how long
Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 4 – Aug 5, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 2 days
Five-factor breakdown
Sub-scores
Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
27
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
13
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
71
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax
Realistic copy return
What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-45.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-69.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−24.8 pts
Forensic check
Farming Risk: clean
No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity
What this wallet actually does
From the last 9,988 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
28
Avg hold
11.6 days
Active span
May 9 – Aug 4, 2026
Trades per month
183
May
3623
Jun
4615
Jul
1567
Aug
Where it trades
Most-traded markets
By fill count over the analyzed window.
US x Iran Effective Ceasfire by July 31?166 fills
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?141 fills
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?133 fills
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?133 fills
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?129 fills
Coverage
Category edge
Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
-20.5%
5984 trades
Politics
-565.0%
3387 trades
Economy
-50.2%
470 trades
Culture
-10.9%
107 trades
Tech
-441.7%
35 trades
Science
-31.7%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives
Category-edge breakdown
Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.