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Sick-Backyard

0xacf8383491688a61a0e4dbba060122ba031be791Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade 3 days ago · 636 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$193
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -24.9%, realistic -38.6%.
53/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Sick-Backyard worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 53/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 636 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -38.6% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,750 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 24 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 49 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
90
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
23
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
10
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
72
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-24.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-38.6%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−13.7 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

2–0 on game moneylines

2 settled calls on NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — under 5, too few to read as a record. Calls are pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
0.9 of 2
Current streak
2 hits

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Eagles vs. Bears
NFL · Sep 29 · Bears at 37¢
hit
Rams vs. Broncos
NFL · Sep 28 · Broncos at 50¢
hit

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
360
Avg hold
1.5 hours
Active span
Jun 21 – Oct 7, 2026
Trades per month
167
Jun
343
Jul
311
Aug
165
Sep
14
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe11 fills
  2. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya6 fills
  3. Barranquilla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Darja Semenistaja5 fills
  4. Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi5 fills
  5. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Shelton5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+24.2%
744 trades
Crypto
+30.3%
256 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.