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Messy-Ritual-Hops

0xb0e74df9430a089aa102e2207af5fde1967439d2Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #9 · 30d profitPrimarily: World
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade 3 days ago · 26 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$448
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -65.7%, realistic -89.5%.
27/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid — farming risk
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Messy-Ritual-Hops worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 27/100 — avoid — farming risk. Over the trailing 90 days it made 26 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -89.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,860 graded wallets, as of October 22, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 22, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 4 – Oct 22, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 10 daysCaution · 1 dayNegative · 38 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
9
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
11
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
46
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-65.7%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-89.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−23.8 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 26 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
0
Avg hold
—
Active span
Aug 31 – Oct 19, 2026
Trades per month
21
Aug
2
Sep
3
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?1 fill
  2. Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?1 fill
  3. Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?1 fill
  4. Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?1 fill
  5. Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?1 fill
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-1610.9%
8 trades
World
0.0%
5 trades
Sports
-60.0%
4 trades
Economy
-40.2%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.