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Home/Copy Verdict

nicgf2000

0xb3427cb03b30fc578cf8e5d1d9f8cbe3464f24b9Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is nicgf2000 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-8.90%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 71 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -8.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 7 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 20 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
76
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
18
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
64
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
79
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-7.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-8.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.6 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 71 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
22
Avg hold
43 hours
Active span
Jul 26 – Aug 26, 2026
Trades per month
25
Jul
46
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds4 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET3 fills
  3. Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Shelton3 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET2 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET2 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+14.4%
24 trades
Crypto
+4.3%
20 trades
Politics
-3.9%
13 trades
Economy
+12.7%
11 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.