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Thankful-Coincidence

0xb8943f4133fbc18f7ae099b4d2d02296633c9cb7Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
62/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Thankful-Coincidence worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-1.10%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 62/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 35 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -1.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 6 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 22 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
54
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
26
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
91
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
62
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-0.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-1.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase0.2 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 255 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
8
Avg hold
17.9 days
Active span
Feb 11 – Aug 21, 2026
Trades per month
106
Feb
15
Mar
71
Apr
29
May
17
Jun
9
Jul
8
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?10 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET5 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET5 fills
  4. Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?5 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET4 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
+1.2%
108 trades
World
-1.9%
62 trades
Politics
-8.1%
60 trades
Economy
+15.2%
13 trades
Culture
0.0%
5 trades
Sports
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.