CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

Favorite-External

0xb9972439194be9d04d22cfa050db6e346f327adfEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Favorite-External worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 836 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -21.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 2 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 4 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 23 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
0
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
71
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
35
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-12.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-21.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−9.1 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
2 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 838 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
365
Avg hold
2.0 days
Active span
May 5 – Aug 4, 2026
Trades per month
2
May
0
Jun
475
Jul
361
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?831 fills
  2. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3 fills
  3. Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?2 fills
  4. Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1 fill
  5. Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?1 fill
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Culture
-12.6%
831 trades
World
-2.2%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
95
Glaring-Farrow
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
PlyQuants
Strong copy candidate
93
Ringed-Laparoscope
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.