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BaleaSafado

0xba04735c10f476e20182a5d3809de57123e7e9b0Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Tech
48/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is BaleaSafado worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 48/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 2.6k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -43.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 14 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 14 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
50
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
11
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
39
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
63
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-28.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-43.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−15.6 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 2,597 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
69
Avg hold
5.0 days
Active span
May 29 – Aug 27, 2026
Trades per month
14
May
103
Jun
33
Jul
2447
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. US strike on Cuba by December 31?8 fills
  2. US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?6 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET5 fills
  4. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?5 fills
  5. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
-0.1%
2468 trades
World
-1.2%
58 trades
Politics
-0.7%
33 trades
Economy
-3.6%
30 trades
Tech
+4.3%
8 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.