CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

xbt17

0xbe2971088a21b6b487031cc468bc6659c08ab07eEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is xbt17 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 308 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +0.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 4 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 2 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 77 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
76
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
33
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
87
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
60
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+0.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+0.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.3 pts
Forensic check

4 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 769 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
124
Avg hold
25 hours
Active span
Jan 2 – Aug 17, 2026
Trades per month
167
Jan
169
Feb
14
Mar
50
Apr
61
May
236
Jun
26
Jul
46
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?42 fills
  2. Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?17 fills
  3. Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?16 fills
  4. Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?16 fills
  5. Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?14 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
+1.7%
286 trades
Sports
+8.6%
280 trades
Culture
-14.3%
112 trades
World
-23.2%
49 trades
Economy
-1.6%
21 trades
Science
-25.5%
16 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.