CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

lyc8612009

0xc13716ce60ccd854e400f64666f0665266215eb0Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 39 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$272
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -45.3%, realistic -54.4%.
46/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
The answer

Is lyc8612009 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 46/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 39 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -54.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1.1% realistic post-fee edge (all 9,101 graded wallets, as of September 4, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded September 4, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 16 – Sep 4, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 8 daysCaution · 3 daysNegative · 40 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
53
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
13
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
12
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
72
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-45.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-54.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−9.1 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
168
Avg hold
2.8 days
Active span
Apr 29 – Sep 4, 2026
Trades per month
188
Apr
768
May
19
Jun
11
Jul
12
Aug
2
Sep
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?10 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET7 fills
  3. Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?7 fills
  4. Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25?6 fills
  5. Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?6 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
-2.9%
949 trades
Sports
+0.9%
25 trades
Politics
-23.4%
11 trades
World
+1.4%
9 trades
Economy
+3.5%
6 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
95
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
Duncs723
Strong copy candidate
93
Glaring-Farrow
Strong copy candidate
93
ziiizar01
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.