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Immense-Supernatural

0xc1e51a0e0ab9f10e2d489b312e35ad8b220dc5dfEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
1 signal our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 1.0k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ +$10
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge +7.9%, realistic +2.0%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Immense-Supernatural worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +2.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 1 farming signal.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,872 graded wallets, as of October 22, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 22, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 22 – Oct 22, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 31 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
100
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
96
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
93
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
83
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+7.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+2.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−5.9 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
1 signal detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,015 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
308
Avg hold
19 hours
Active span
Jul 25 – Oct 22, 2026
Trades per month
71
Jul
433
Aug
400
Sep
111
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?52 fills
  2. Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?32 fills
  3. Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15 fills
  4. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?14 fills
  5. Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?11 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+8.6%
660 trades
Science
+2.7%
103 trades
Politics
+3.9%
69 trades
Economy
+7.2%
15 trades
Culture
+1.4%
15 trades
Crypto
+7.3%
7 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.