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Berniepaidoff

0xc506cc1d5efd0c85bcb94f9ecaf1b541921ce987Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 268 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$229
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -30.1%, realistic -45.8%.
50/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Berniepaidoff worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 50/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 268 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -45.8% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,858 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 21 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 7 daysCaution · 3 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 day
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
91
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
15
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
32
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
36
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-30.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-45.8%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−15.7 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

10–8 on game moneylines

18 settled calls on MLB, CFB and NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
10.6 of 18
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Eagles vs. Bears
NFL · Sep 29 · Eagles at 66¢
miss
Rams vs. Broncos
NFL · Sep 28 · Rams at 51¢
miss
Ravens vs. Cowboys
NFL · Sep 27 · Ravens at 63¢
hit
Panthers vs. Browns
NFL · Sep 27 · Panthers at 54¢
miss
Texas vs. Tennessee
CFB · Sep 26 · Texas at 66¢
hit
Texas Rangers vs. Minnesota Twins
MLB · Sep 26 · Texas Rangers at 53¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 268 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
7
Avg hold
2.7 hours
Active span
Jul 4 – Oct 2, 2026
Trades per month
175
Jul
14
Aug
78
Sep
1
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET5 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET4 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET4 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET3 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET3 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
-103.1%
175 trades
Sports
+2.1%
93 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.