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Erasmus.

0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
54/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Erasmus. worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 54/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 191 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -21.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 12 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 15 daysCaution · 1 dayNegative · 3 daysCaution · 7 daysNegative · 4 daysCaution · 1 dayNegative · 2 daysCaution · 3 daysNegative · 3 daysCaution · 5 daysNegative · 3 daysCaution · 5 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 22 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
77
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
16
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
54
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
61
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-17.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-21.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−4.4 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 719 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
53
Avg hold
10.7 days
Active span
Apr 16 – Aug 25, 2026
Trades per month
130
Apr
408
May
138
Jun
42
Jul
1
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?114 fills
  2. US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?94 fills
  3. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?72 fills
  4. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?41 fills
  5. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?26 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
+8.1%
469 trades
Politics
+1.5%
124 trades
Economy
-3.3%
121 trades
Sports
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.