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Home/Copy Verdict

greyoctober

0xc65ca4755436f82d8eb461e65781584b8cadea39Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
3 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The verdict, in plain English
This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 48 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -23.6% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 3 farming signals.
Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 25 – Aug 1, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 8 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
99
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
27
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
64
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
65
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-15.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-23.6%
The gap — what latency and fees erase8.1 pts
Forensic check

3 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
3 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 829 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
3
Avg hold
7.0 hours
Active span
Dec 9 – Aug 1, 2026
Trades per month
53
Dec
381
Jan
168
Feb
169
Mar
9
Apr
6
May
6
Jun
36
Jul
1
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports - Map 2 Winner16 fills
  2. Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner9 fills
  3. Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Map 1 Winner8 fills
  4. Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winner8 fills
  5. Valorant: TYLOO vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs8 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.3%
829 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.