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merlini

0xca98398973420c9cb8917397e6f3074c473974b8Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
76/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy candidate
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is merlini worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Clean risk check, copy candidate band, and a real +4.7% post-fee edge — a candidate worth copying (size it to your own risk).

This wallet scores 76/100 — copy candidate. Over the trailing 90 days it made 39 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +4.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 7 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 20 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
92
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
44
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
86
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
65
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+5.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+4.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.2 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 365 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
119
Avg hold
40 hours
Active span
Jun 4 – Aug 23, 2026
Trades per month
33
Sep
10
Oct
0
Nov
0
Dec
0
Jan
0
Feb
0
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
17
Jun
0
Jul
22
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Major cyberattack on Iran in June?8 fills
  2. Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3 PM ET7 fills
  3. Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7 AM ET5 fills
  4. No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?5 fills
  5. Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $85m and $92m?5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
+12.5%
100 trades
Politics
-1.2%
89 trades
World
+28.3%
75 trades
Economy
+5.8%
22 trades
Sports
-5.3%
18 trades
Tech
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.