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GuessyProphet

0xcc0bf74502fc0bb35c748a0ff4f409a1bf49fa42Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: gone quiet
Last trade 21 days ago · 287 trades in the last 90 days. Copying a quiet wallet buys nothing until it trades again.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -100.0%, realistic -100.0%.
43/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is GuessyProphet worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 43/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 287 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.1% realistic post-fee edge (all 9,529 graded wallets, as of September 8, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded September 8, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 14 – Sep 8, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 3 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 3 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 2 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 2 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 8 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 2 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 1 dayCaution · 2 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 3 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 46 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
19
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
72
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-100.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.0 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
22
Avg hold
3.1 days
Active span
Nov 2 – Aug 18, 2026
Trades per month
25
Nov
1
Dec
6
Jan
85
Feb
0
Mar
0
Apr
550
May
321
Jun
11
Jul
1
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2AM ET17 fills
  2. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?5 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 1PM ET3 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7AM ET3 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12AM ET3 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
+1.8%
905 trades
Sports
-0.1%
41 trades
Politics
-70.9%
18 trades
Culture
0.0%
15 trades
Economy
+17.3%
13 trades
Science
0.0%
5 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.