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Home/Copy Verdict

Kimera-

0xcc7cc758832741d13ad773e7074215922e354ce2Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
58/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Kimera- worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 58/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 690 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -1.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 7 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 16 daysCaution · 5 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
64
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
21
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
90
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
62
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-1.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-1.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.6 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
261
Avg hold
5.1 days
Active span
Apr 8 – Aug 26, 2026
Trades per month
111
Apr
222
May
374
Jun
185
Jul
108
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?17 fills
  2. US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?14 fills
  3. Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?14 fills
  4. Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?14 fills
  5. Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?10 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.9%
314 trades
Politics
-1.3%
186 trades
Culture
-0.4%
112 trades
Tech
-1.6%
107 trades
Economy
+2.6%
86 trades
Crypto
+13.1%
66 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.