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Luna-One-19.02.2025

0xd1db319e81ad6e9be7e135229dc6f90f37a71afaEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Culture
51/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Luna-One-19.02.2025 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-16.00%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 51/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 55 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -16.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 8 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 19 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
47
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
8
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
67
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
60
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-13.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-16.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−2.7 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 485 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
56
Avg hold
7.2 days
Active span
Feb 21 – Aug 8, 2026
Trades per month
86
Feb
229
Mar
48
Apr
67
May
16
Jun
3
Jul
36
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?10 fills
  2. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?8 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET6 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET6 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET6 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
-2.8%
340 trades
World
-17.6%
61 trades
Economy
-14.0%
44 trades
Politics
-11.2%
35 trades
Culture
+188.9%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.