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TearsInTheRain

0xd2f62b045b9be73d36c980526145374a23d4cbf3Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 1.7k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$100
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -12.9%, realistic -20.0%.
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is TearsInTheRain worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-20.00%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.7k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -20.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,296 graded wallets, as of October 6, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 6, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 13 – Oct 6, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 24 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
97
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
22
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
51
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
90
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-12.9%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-20.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−7.1 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,736 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
373
Avg hold
29 hours
Active span
Jul 21 – Oct 6, 2026
Trades per month
4
Jul
80
Aug
1257
Sep
395
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?11 fills
  2. Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?11 fills
  3. Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?8 fills
  4. Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?8 fills
  5. Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?7 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+10.0%
1463 trades
Crypto
+6.8%
165 trades
Economy
+4.9%
34 trades
World
+4.7%
32 trades
Tech
+5.7%
17 trades
Culture
+2.9%
5 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.