CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

299

0xd49d0db04cd299fc7a7c7268e0f3ff536ca56d5fEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is 299 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-19.90%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 86 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -19.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 3 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 76 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
99
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
27
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
60
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
79
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-16.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-19.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−3.3 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 600 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
10
Avg hold
19.3 days
Active span
Apr 30 – Aug 26, 2026
Trades per month
25
Sep
25
Oct
20
Nov
92
Dec
34
Jan
54
Feb
90
Mar
19
Apr
60
May
61
Jun
12
Jul
6
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?7 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET6 fills
  3. Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves6 fills
  4. Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?6 fills
  5. Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
0.0%
378 trades
Crypto
+3.0%
121 trades
Politics
+0.2%
40 trades
Economy
0.0%
27 trades
Culture
0.0%
24 trades
World
0.0%
6 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.