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Home/Copy Verdict

fxwd12345

0xd991f59a083d4f3090393846b0ef362d5a90c161Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade yesterday · 1.1k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$142
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -18.3%, realistic -28.4%.
52/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is fxwd12345 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-28.40%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 52/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.1k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -28.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,790 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 11 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 44 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 16 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
55
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
16
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
57
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
48
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-18.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-28.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−10.1 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,126 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
132
Avg hold
18 hours
Active span
Jul 14 – Oct 10, 2026
Trades per month
93
Jul
682
Aug
320
Sep
31
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Como 1907?8 fills
  2. Telstar 1963 vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 0.57 fills
  3. Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.56 fills
  4. Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?6 fills
  5. LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-In5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.5%
1117 trades
Politics
-4.1%
5 trades
World
0.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.