CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

chaleg

0xdd51a65419263454c734e03a8445932f4791d759Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Science
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
The answer

Is chaleg worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-5.10%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 601 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -5.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 3 – Aug 27, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 5 daysCaution · 10 daysNegative · 27 daysCaution · 34 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
73
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
17
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
88
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
86
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-3.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-5.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.8 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 601 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
176
Avg hold
1.9 hours
Active span
Jun 3 – Aug 23, 2026
Trades per month
349
Jun
113
Jul
139
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?9 fills
  2. Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?7 fills
  3. Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on June 16?6 fills
  4. Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 22?6 fills
  5. Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 11?6 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Science
+0.9%
597 trades
Economy
-3.3%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
95
Glaring-Farrow
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
PlyQuants
Strong copy candidate
93
Ringed-Laparoscope
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.