CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

Forecastication2

0xdd5ef115f801999575b03d78d0115ad8b2d59040Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
38 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 10.0k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -99.3%, realistic -100.0%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
High farming risk
38 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Forecastication2 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 10.0k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 38 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,948 graded wallets, as of October 23, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 23, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 25 – Oct 23, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 91 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
30
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
50
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-99.3%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.7 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

15–29 on game moneylines

44 settled calls on CFB, NFL and MLB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
18.4 of 44
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Patriots vs. Bears
NFL · Oct 23 · Patriots at 40¢
miss
Liberty vs. Kennesaw State
CFB · Oct 22 · Kennesaw State at 23¢
miss
James Madison vs. Appalachian State
CFB · Oct 22 · Appalachian State at 22¢
hit
South Alabama vs. Marshall
CFB · Oct 20 · Marshall at 45¢
hit
Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International
CFB · Oct 20 · Middle Tennessee at 22¢
hit
Missouri State vs. Delaware
CFB · Oct 20 · Missouri State at 40¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

38 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
38 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 10,001 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
0
Avg hold
—
Active span
Sep 22 – Oct 23, 2026
Trades per month
1557
Sep
8444
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Fight to Go the Distance?180 fills
  2. Patriots vs. Bears58 fills
  3. Bills vs. Rams: O/U 54.547 fills
  4. Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream36 fills
  5. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?36 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
0.0%
10000 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

CheffromHell
Strong copy candidate
94
dasboot83
Strong copy candidate
94
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
94
rtmluck
Strong copy candidate
93
76zij3d3cq9c
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.