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patient12

0xe291a588ece487f3323736c55c6144f6a99e748eEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: no
Last trade 56 days ago · 235 trades in the last 90 days. A record this stale is history, not a live edge.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$218
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -32.6%, realistic -43.5%.
50/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is patient12 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 50/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 235 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -43.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,850 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 1, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 27 – Oct 1, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 12 daysNegative · 2 daysCaution · 4 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 6 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayNegative · 1 dayCaution · 39 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
83
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
11
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
29
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
60
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-32.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-43.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−10.9 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 391 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
49
Avg hold
20 hours
Active span
May 15 – Aug 6, 2026
Trades per month
59
May
77
Jun
197
Jul
58
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner8 fills
  2. LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner6 fills
  3. LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner6 fills
  4. LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner6 fills
  5. LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner5 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+1.2%
380 trades
World
0.0%
8 trades
Politics
-0.3%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.