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Home/Copy Verdict

crop?

0xe30898ebedefd06a8acd3ea2bfdd7a00bd67309cEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Crypto
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is crop? worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 502 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -5.6% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, May 30 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 1 dayCaution · 2 daysPositive · 34 daysCaution · 1 dayPositive · 6 daysCaution · 33 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
97
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
28
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
70
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
69
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
60
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-4.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-5.6%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−1.6 pts
Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 684 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
71
Avg hold
33.7 days
Active span
Apr 17 – Aug 21, 2026
Trades per month
0
Sep
9
Oct
0
Nov
0
Dec
0
Jan
0
Feb
0
Mar
45
Apr
87
May
212
Jun
68
Jul
188
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?11 fills
  2. Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?11 fills
  3. Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?9 fills
  4. Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?8 fills
  5. Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?7 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
+9.1%
217 trades
Tech
+6.6%
200 trades
World
+3.8%
142 trades
Crypto
+18.8%
43 trades
Culture
-0.8%
37 trades
Sports
+0.5%
17 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.