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Home/Copy Verdict

dwFqcd4Z

0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is dwFqcd4Z worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 81 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -40.7% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 4 farming signals.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 17 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 10 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
50
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
20
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
36
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
81
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
18
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-29.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-40.7%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−11.6 pts
Forensic check

4 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 787 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
146
Avg hold
20.2 days
Active span
Dec 28 – Jul 11, 2026
Trades per month
0
Aug
29
Sep
423
Oct
17
Nov
28
Dec
70
Jan
74
Feb
3
Mar
53
Apr
2
May
58
Jun
23
Jul
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?151 fills
  2. Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?107 fills
  3. Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?38 fills
  4. Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?26 fills
  5. Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?22 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-2.5%
379 trades
Economy
+0.7%
197 trades
World
-3.4%
146 trades
Sports
0.0%
58 trades
Culture
0.0%
7 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.