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Home/Copy Verdict

phredmoz

0xe9d31c24fc8d6a4beb58ee1808fdbefd0e72079fEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: flagged
4 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade 4 days ago · 1.7k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$176
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -20.1%, realistic -35.2%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is phredmoz worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.7k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -35.2% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 4 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,750 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 17 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 56 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
60
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
18
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
54
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
68
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-20.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-35.2%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−15.1 pts
Forensic check

4 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
4 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,680 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
611
Avg hold
1.1 hours
Active span
Jul 13 – Oct 6, 2026
Trades per month
268
Jul
726
Aug
501
Sep
185
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna18 fills
  2. China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov16 fills
  3. ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Ku Keon Kang vs Ammar Alhogbani14 fills
  4. Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Linang Xiao vs Federico Cina13 fills
  5. Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?13 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-4.1%
1646 trades
Crypto
+4.3%
26 trades
World
+104.5%
8 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.