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Bigwinter

0xea090302544f274c17fd1cc35904d2888a2a3a5eEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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High farming risk
5 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Bigwinter worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 1.2k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -13.6% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 5 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,493 graded wallets, as of August 29, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 28, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 9 – Aug 29, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 52 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
66
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
19
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
74
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
72
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-7.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-13.6%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−5.8 pts
Forensic check

5 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
5 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,237 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
376
Avg hold
34 hours
Active span
May 31 – Jul 22, 2026
Trades per month
230
May
877
Jun
130
Jul
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET17 fills
  2. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET12 fills
  3. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET11 fills
  4. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET10 fills
  5. Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET9 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Crypto
+4.5%
1177 trades
Sports
-28.1%
50 trades
Economy
+34.2%
4 trades
Culture
-75.3%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.