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trader-ec83bdaf

0xec83bdafe4c755056788c87780443bcfe9bc929cEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is trader-ec83bdaf worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-0.20%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 46 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -0.2% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median active Polymarket wallet scores 42/100 with a -4.8% realistic post-fee edge (July 2026 snapshot) — all published numbers.

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jun 3 – Aug 26, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Caution · 7 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 10 daysNegative · 23 daysCaution · 34 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
61
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
26
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
92
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
85
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-0.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-0.2%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.0 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 184 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
65
Avg hold
3.1 days
Active span
Dec 26 – Jul 29, 2026
Trades per month
41
Dec
20
Jan
4
Feb
49
Mar
24
Apr
0
May
30
Jun
16
Jul
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Trump out as President by March 31?24 fills
  2. MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?16 fills
  3. US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?15 fills
  4. Nothing Ever Happens: December13 fills
  5. US forces enter Iran by April 30?11 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
World
-0.2%
69 trades
Politics
-0.5%
60 trades
Economy
0.0%
42 trades
Sports
-0.4%
9 trades
Culture
0.0%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.