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Melody626

0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: under review
2 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade 6 days ago · 485 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$500
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -79.6%, realistic -100.0%.
31/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Melody626 worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 31/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 485 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -100.0% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,778 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 91 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
45
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
11
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
41
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-79.6%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-100.0%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−20.4 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
91
Avg hold
10.5 days
Active span
Jun 21 – Oct 4, 2026
Trades per month
255
Jun
438
Jul
273
Aug
5
Sep
29
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?25 fills
  2. Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?16 fills
  3. Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?16 fills
  4. Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by more than 30%?14 fills
  5. Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?11 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-4.1%
417 trades
Sports
-5.3%
409 trades
Culture
-2.9%
137 trades
Economy
-32.7%
19 trades
World
0.0%
13 trades
Tech
-0.1%
5 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.