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SaylorMoon

0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: under review
3 emerging signals — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 331 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ +$1
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge +0.2%, realistic +0.1%.
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
3 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is SaylorMoon worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 331 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of +0.1% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 3 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 13,656 graded wallets, as of October 20, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 20, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Sep 1 – Oct 20, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 26 daysCaution · 24 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
95
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
33
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
92
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
66
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
+0.2%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
+0.1%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.1 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

5–6 on game moneylines

11 settled calls on NFL and MLB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
4.3 of 11
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Commanders vs. 49ers
NFL · Oct 20 · Commanders at 22¢
miss
Chargers vs. Chiefs
NFL · Oct 18 · Chargers at 22¢
miss
Bills vs. Raiders
NFL · Oct 18 · Raiders at 32¢
miss
Jets vs. Patriots
NFL · Oct 18 · Jets at 25¢
miss
Saints vs. Giants
NFL · Oct 18 · Saints at 51¢
hit
Panthers vs. Eagles
NFL · Oct 18 · Eagles at 42¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

3 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
3 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 1,000 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
48
Avg hold
9.9 days
Active span
Jan 25 – Oct 20, 2026
Trades per month
24
Jan
93
Feb
160
Mar
58
Apr
193
May
29
Jun
233
Jul
37
Aug
82
Sep
91
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?19 fills
  2. Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom AND Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Dominic Stephan Stricker AND Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Andres Martin AND Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockx17 fills
  3. Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?14 fills
  4. Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baez AND Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli AND Granby: Liam Draxl vs Daniel Milavsky AND Bunschoten: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard AND Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker AND Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina AND Croatia Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldi13 fills
  5. Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?12 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.5%
546 trades
Politics
+0.2%
149 trades
World
+8.4%
53 trades
Economy
+0.8%
51 trades
Crypto
-0.1%
9 trades
Tech
0.0%
6 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.