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Outsid3rTrading

0xf1ef8705e9f63c790c6fffd6329aea7011718cd6Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: World
Farming risk: clean
No farming signals detected in the graded window.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 177 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$387
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -62.1%, realistic -77.3%.
58/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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The answer

Is Outsid3rTrading worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: its realistic post-fee edge (-77.30%) is below the 1% copy floor — copying nets ~nothing.

This wallet scores 58/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 177 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -77.3% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,750 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 24 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Positive · 6 daysCaution · 1 dayPositive · 2 daysCaution · 1 dayPositive · 1 dayCaution · 1 dayPositive · 2 daysCaution · 35 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
95
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
19
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
0
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
76
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
No farming detected
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-62.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-77.3%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−15.2 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

1–0 on game moneylines

1 settled call on NFL moneylines in the last 14 days — under 5, too few to read as a record. Calls are pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
0.6 of 1
Current streak
1 hit

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Packers vs. Buccaneers
NFL · Oct 4 · Packers at 60¢
hit

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 611 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
29
Avg hold
11.1 days
Active span
Sep 4 – Oct 10, 2026
Trades per month
13
Nov
47
Dec
89
Jan
102
Feb
72
Mar
32
Apr
33
May
31
Jun
18
Jul
63
Aug
90
Sep
16
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?12 fills
  2. Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?9 fills
  3. Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?8 fills
  4. Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?7 fills
  5. Spread: Celtics (-13.5)7 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
+0.6%
412 trades
World
+23.2%
68 trades
Economy
-1.1%
18 trades
Crypto
0.0%
7 trades
Parlays
0.0%
5 trades
Tech
+5.1%
3 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.