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Home/Copy Verdict

bigballaz

0xf3a6ac44c5c90ff2b4afa4459f71acc2e57971bdEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Sports
Farming risk: under review
1 emerging signal — our model is watching, not yet flagging.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 640 trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$115
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -14.8%, realistic -22.9%.
49/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is bigballaz worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 49/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 640 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -22.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 1 emerging farming signal under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 11,862 graded wallets, as of October 2, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 2, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 4 – Oct 2, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 8 daysCaution · 4 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 10 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 6 daysNegative · 1 dayCaution · 25 daysNegative · 4 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
30
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
65
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
50
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-14.8%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-22.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−8.1 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

5–5 on game moneylines

10 settled calls on NFL, MLB and CFB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
5.1 of 10
Current streak
1 hit

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

North Texas vs. Tulsa
CFB · Oct 2 · North Texas at 56¢
hit
Vikings vs. Buccaneers
NFL · Sep 27 · Buccaneers at 48¢
miss
James Madison vs. Old Dominion
CFB · Sep 26 · James Madison at 69¢
hit
Furman vs. Richmond
CFB · Sep 26 · Furman at 44¢
miss
UCLA vs. Maryland
CFB · Sep 26 · Maryland at 47¢
miss
Army vs. Temple
CFB · Sep 25 · Army at 63¢
hit

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

1 farming signal detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
1 early signal — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 707 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
0
Avg hold
—
Active span
Jun 25 – Oct 2, 2026
Trades per month
42
Jun
260
Jul
205
Aug
193
Sep
7
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 Corners13 fills
  2. Spread: Panthers (-1.5)8 fills
  3. DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.57 fills
  4. Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals7 fills
  5. Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.57 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
0.0%
707 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.