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Treadmilled

0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933Embed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Politics
64/100
CopyGrade Score
Copy with caution
Based on a 90-day trade window
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Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Treadmilled worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Watch, don't copy yet: emerging farming signals are under review.

This wallet scores 64/100 — copy with caution. Over the trailing 90 days it made 35 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -2.4% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It has 2 emerging farming signals under review.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1.1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,778 graded wallets, as of August 31, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 31, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 13 – Aug 31, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 12 daysCaution · 38 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
79
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
24
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
90
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
72
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
Emerging signals
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-2.0%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-2.4%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−0.4 pts
Forensic check

2 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
Emerging signals
2 early signals — not conclusive.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 441 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
75
Avg hold
25.6 days
Active span
Jul 22 – Aug 31, 2026
Trades per month
34
Sep
12
Oct
12
Nov
0
Dec
22
Jan
7
Feb
14
Mar
11
Apr
9
May
10
Jun
24
Jul
2
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?39 fills
  2. Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?25 fills
  3. Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?23 fills
  4. Will Biden finish his term?19 fills
  5. US government shutdown Saturday?13 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
+1.1%
211 trades
Economy
+0.3%
97 trades
World
+0.3%
77 trades
Crypto
0.0%
32 trades
Culture
+0.1%
19 trades
Tech
0.0%
4 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
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What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
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Keep digging

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Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.