CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

Nooserac

0xf68a281980f8c13828e84e147e3822381d6e5b1bEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Polymarket #33 · 7d volumePrimarily: Sports
Farming risk: flagged
3 signals our model reads as severe — a pattern consistent with monetising copiers.
Still trading: yes
Last trade today · 2.6k trades in the last 90 days.
Per $500 copied: ≈ −$40
Net of modelled fees and copy latency over the graded tape — headline edge -4.5%, realistic -7.9%.
30/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
High farming risk
3 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
The answer

Is Nooserac worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: our model flags severe farming risk — a trade pattern consistent with monetising copiers rather than edge.

This wallet scores 30/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 2.6k trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -7.9% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. It is flagged for 3 farming signals.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 48/100 with a -1.4% realistic post-fee edge (all 12,750 graded wallets, as of October 11, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded October 11, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 91 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Four factors scored 0–100, plus the farming screen — a pass-or-flag check. Recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
46
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
12
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
87
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
59
Farming Risk
A wash-trading / airdrop-farming screen — a pass-or-flag check, not a 0–100 grade, and not a read on profitability.
High farming risk
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-4.5%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-7.9%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−3.4 pts
Recent form · last 14 days

3–7 on game moneylines

10 settled calls on NFL and CFB moneylines in the last 14 days — pre-kickoff net positions of $250 or more, settled by the final.
Expected hits
4.8 of 10
Current streak
—

Expected hits is the sum of the prices paid — how many of these calls the market itself expected to win. A record only means something against that number.

Columbia vs. Marist
CFB · Oct 9 · Marist at 45¢
miss
Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky
CFB · Oct 8 · Missouri State at 49¢
miss
Chiefs vs. Raiders
NFL · Oct 4 · Chiefs at 64¢
hit
Titans vs. Ravens
NFL · Oct 4 · Titans at 15¢
miss
Temple vs. South Florida
CFB · Oct 3 · Temple at 34¢
hit
Army vs. Louisiana Tech
CFB · Oct 3 · Army at 50¢
miss

Form is display only — it does not move the CopyGrade Score. Read from the ingested trade tape and each game's settled final; a position sold after kickoff still counts as the call it was at kickoff. Stakes and dollar results are on the in-app verdict.

Forensic check

3 farming signals detected

This wallet shows behaviour that can turn copiers into exit liquidity.
High farming risk
3 signals detected.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Each signal is tied to specific on-chain activity — the full evidence trail is on the in-app dossier. Open it free →
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 2,629 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
34
Avg hold
9.2 days
Active span
Jul 13 – Oct 11, 2026
Trades per month
449
Jul
296
Aug
945
Sep
939
Oct
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Hanlei Lu vs Vladimir Osminkin22 fills
  2. Washington vs. USC20 fills
  3. Cowboys vs. Texans15 fills
  4. Fight to Go the Distance?13 fills
  5. Georgia vs. Alabama11 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Sports
-0.1%
2626 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
94
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
dasboot83
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
ziiizar01
Strong copy candidate
93
PlyQuants
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.