CopyGrade
Home/Copy Verdict

Live-Aunt

0xf829e5588834f3b94d926ce7c0b93995111f91ecEmbed badgeView on Polymarket
Primarily: Economy
40/100
CopyGrade Score
Avoid
Based on a 90-day trade window
Sign up free to watch this wallet and get alerts →
The answer

Is Live-Aunt worth copying?

The verdict, in plain English

Avoid: the wallet grades in the lowest band — the risk-adjusted record doesn't support copying.

This wallet scores 40/100 — avoid. Over the trailing 90 days it made 55 trades with a realistic post-fee edge of -20.5% once copy-bot latency and slippage are priced in. Its farming-risk check is clean.

For context, the median graded Polymarket wallet scores 47/100 with a -1% realistic post-fee edge (all 8,405 graded wallets, as of August 28, 2026) — all published numbers.

Graded August 28, 2026 · re-scored hourly from public trade history

Verdict history

Which band, and for how long

Daily verdict-band timeline, Aug 23 – Aug 28, 2026. The full score-history chart lives on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Negative · 6 days
Five-factor breakdown

Sub-scores

Each scored 0–100, recomputed on each sync.
Edge Authenticity
Is the profit skill or luck/variance?
20
Risk-Adjusted Return
Sharpe-equivalent — not just raw profit.
16
Drawdown Resilience
How it behaves in losing streaks.
61
Consistency / Regime
Does the edge hold across time?
35
Farming Safety
Clean-behaviour score — higher is safer to copy.
92
The latency tax

Realistic copy return

What you'd actually have made copying this wallet for the last 90 days — after Polymarket fees, gas, and a typical 380ms copy-bot latency.
Wallet's headline edge
What Polymarket's leaderboard shows
-17.1%
Your realistic edge if copying
After latency, slippage, fees
-20.5%
The gap — what latency and fees erase−3.4 pts
Forensic check

Farming Risk: clean

No behavioral farming signals in the trailing 90-day window.
No farming detected
Behavioral signals look clean.
Algorithmic assessment of public on-chain data · How this works
Iceberg accumulationnot detected
Self-trade washnot detected
Manufactured-volume churnnot detected
Pump-and-dumpnot detected
Copy-baitnot detected
YES/NO stealth mergenot detected
Decoy wallet clusternot detected
Cross-wallet coordinationnot detected
Trading activity

What this wallet actually does

From the last 55 synced fills. The full trade tape and realized PnL are on the in-app dossier — free with an account.
Closed round-trips
5
Avg hold
16.3 days
Active span
May 31 – Aug 27, 2026
Trades per month
11
May
14
Jun
6
Jul
24
Aug
Where it trades

Most-traded markets

By fill count over the analyzed window.
  1. Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?2 fills
  2. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?2 fills
  3. Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?2 fills
  4. Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?2 fills
  5. Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-30?2 fills
Coverage

Category edge

Post-fee edge per category, best-evidenced first. A large edge on a handful of trades is noise, not skill — the trade count next to each figure is the part that tells you which is which.
Politics
-16.7%
26 trades
World
-3.1%
15 trades
Sports
-2.6%
6 trades
Economy
0.0%
5 trades
Where the edge actually lives

Category-edge breakdown

Edge is category-specific — a wallet that's +21% on NBA can be −11% on politics. The full per-category breakdown is on the in-app dossier.
Open in the app — free
What you'd be copying

Open positions & simulator

See this wallet's live open positions and run an honest, latency-adjusted backtest of copying it with your own capital.
Open in the app — free
Keep digging

Other graded wallets

PoppyG
Strong copy candidate
95
phatsddds125
Strong copy candidate
94
Misty-Notoriety-Manager
Strong copy candidate
94
Glaring-Farrow
Strong copy candidate
94
PlyQuants
Strong copy candidate
93
ziiizar01
Strong copy candidate
93
Open the full dossier — freePro: alerts on the wallets you trackHow the CopyGrade Score works

CopyGrade is independent, analysis-only due diligence — it never executes trades or holds funds. Scores are computed from public Polymarket data and recomputed on each sync; see the methodology, farming detection, and the graded Polymarket leaderboard. Not financial advice.